Social squawk. Asset prices.

Wristwatch Social

An out-of-the-box asset pricing case study

Jewelry stores already publish a live book. They just do it on YouTube. This prototype turns that public squawk into a dated buy and ask book. The figures are spoken prices, not invented numbers.

Most quoted pieceGMT-Master · PepsiBuy $10,000Ask $20,000158 spoken quotes
Quotes
6,070
Pass
2
Transcripts
1,115
Videos
1,115
Last pull
Sep 1, 2026

Every dollar on this page was spoken on a public jewelry-store channel. We did not make the figures up. Extraction can mis-hear a line, but it does not invent a print. Social feeds last aggregated September 1, 2026.

The board at a glance

Seven models, one afternoon of speech

Before any single piece: this is the shape of the whole tape. Wide bands are the models the rooms argue about. A blue dot to the right of the orange one is a desk paying above its own asking talk.

Where each model trades

The bar is the middle half of every price spoken about that model. The dots are the median buy and the median ask on this snapshot.

  • Middle half of quotes
  • Median buy
  • Median ask
$0$25k$50k$75k$100kDaytona347 quotesmedian buy $25,500median ask $30,000Day-Date138 quotes$30,000GMT-Master472 quotes$17,000Submariner432 quotes$14,000Datejust159 quotes$10,000

Medians, not averages: one $155,000 sentence should not move a model. Open the tape to see the quotes behind any row.

Why we built this

The street already talks. We price from the tape.

Grey-market jewelers and watch desks run public YouTube channels to promote their own stores. On camera they say what they will pay, what they will sell, and what they will not touch. That speech is a pricing feed for physical assets. Most people treat it as entertainment. We treat it as a market. Every print on this page came out of those rooms. Nothing here is a mock.

Public channels, private books

CRM Jewelers, Bob's Watches, Luxury Bazaar, The Honest Watch Dealer. They are not hiding the tape. They are using it as advertising. The prices are already in the open.

Machines do the listening

Speech recognition has already turned those rooms into text. We read the caption tracks and run extractors over the speech, so every spoken dollar comes out tagged: brand, model, buy, ask, pass, dealer, clip.

A book a desk can scan

The output is not a transcript dump. It is a book: one board per house, that house’s own models down the side, median buy in blue and median ask in orange. Outside-the-box thinking with a usable board.

House by house

The spoken book

One board per house, and each house gets its own models. Blue is the median buy, orange the median ask across every line spoken about that model. Click a house to open its whole tape, or a Rolex model to open that piece.

Rolex2,427 quotes · 6 desksOpen the tape
Rolex models with median buy and median ask on this snapshot
ModelBuyAskQuotes
GMT-Master$12,000$18,000473
Submariner$9,500$15,000432
Daytona$25,500$30,000349
Datejust$10,000$10,000159
Day-Date$50,000$30,000138
Sky-Dweller$34,000$21,00052
Yacht-Master$13,000$20,00030
Explorer-$7,70030
Oyster Perpetual$50,000$7,00027
Sea-Dweller$112,000$9,50027

668 more Rolex lines with no model named.

Audemars Piguet296 quotes · 6 desksOpen the tape
Audemars Piguet models with median buy and median ask on this snapshot
ModelBuyAskQuotes
Royal Oak$22,000$42,00062
Offshore$546$20,0009
Jumbo-$130,0001

224 more Audemars Piguet lines with no model named.

Omega228 quotes · 5 desksOpen the tape
Omega models with median buy and median ask on this snapshot
ModelBuyAskQuotes
Speedmaster-$5,85012
Seamaster-$12,5005
Constellation$60,000$5,5005
Planet Ocean-$13,5002
De Ville-$4,3951

203 more Omega lines with no model named.

Patek Philippe182 quotes · 5 desksOpen the tape
Patek Philippe models with median buy and median ask on this snapshot
ModelBuyAskQuotes
Nautilus$150,000$68,00055
Calatrava-$35,0003
Complications-$45,0001
Aquanaut-$200,0001

122 more Patek Philippe lines with no model named.

Cartier101 quotes · 4 desksOpen the tape
Cartier models with median buy and median ask on this snapshot
ModelBuyAskQuotes
Tank$800$6,00026
Santos-$16,25016
Panthère-$170,0002
Pasha-$5,0001

56 more Cartier lines with no model named.

Tudor59 quotes · 4 desksOpen the tape
Tudor models with median buy and median ask on this snapshot
ModelBuyAskQuotes
Black Bay-$2,50032
GMT-$5,0003
Ranger-$7002

22 more Tudor lines with no model named.

Inside the feed

What the tape is made of

Not every spoken dollar is an offer. The extractor separates what a desk will pay from what it wants, and keeps the source attached to every line.

Kinds of spoken price

Blue is money a desk will pay, orange is money it wants, crimson is a hard pass.

6,070 quotes
  • Guide2,217
  • Buy1,173
  • Retail1,107
  • Ask887
  • Sold647
  • Grey37
  • Pass2

Who is talking

Quotes pulled per public storefront on this snapshot.

6,070 quotes
  • The Watch Hangout2,056
  • Luxury Bazaar (Roman Sharf)1,991
  • CRM Jewelers1,248
  • The Honest Watch Dealer378
  • Bob's Watches261
  • Watch Eric136

Under the hood

How the tape becomes a price

Same move we use on talent work: ingest messy public signal, keep provenance, rank it so a person can actually use it.

Nothing on this page was typed in by hand. Seven jewelry-store YouTube channels are walked with yt-dlp, which also pulls the caption tracks YouTube's own speech recognition has already produced: that is the listening step, and it is what turns hours of dealer talk into text a machine can read. From there a money matcher catches every dollar figure, the words around it decide whether the desk is buying, asking, reporting a sale or refusing, and a watch vocabulary resolves which piece is being priced from references, model names and the nicknames the rooms actually use. Every row is hashed and stamped with the video's publish time, so a re-extract inserts what is new instead of rewriting what was already said.

  1. 01

    Harvest

    • yt-dlp
    • channel + video metadata

    7 jewelry-store channels, walked video by video. Publish time comes along, which is what every price is later dated by.

    1,115 videos

  2. 02

    Speech to text

    • YouTube ASR captions
    • VTT

    The machine listening step. YouTube's own speech recognition has already transcribed these rooms; we pull those caption tracks rather than re-running audio.

    1,115 transcripts

  3. 03

    Money and intent

    • pattern extraction
    • intent lexicons

    Every dollar figure in the text is caught, then the 180 characters around it decide what kind of price it is: a buy, an ask, a sold, or a hard pass.

    6,070 spoken prices

  4. 04

    Which watch

    • reference vocabulary
    • nickname map

    126710BLRO, Speedmaster, Pepsi, Batman, Hulk. References, model names and the nicknames dealers actually use all resolve to the same piece.

    30 named pieces

  5. 05

    Date-stamp and dedupe

    • fingerprint hash
    • append-only

    Each row is hashed and stamped with the video's publish time. Re-extracting inserts what is new and leaves history alone, so the book never quietly rewrites itself.

    2 passes kept

Speech recognition also mishears money: a dealer saying “fifteen five” comes back in the captions as $155,000. Figures that sit far outside their own model’s range are held out of the headline buy and ask and marked in the tape, rather than being deleted from it.

What is not running yet: a language-model pass over the windows the pattern layer flags as ambiguous, to read intent where a lexicon cannot. Every figure on this page came out of the deterministic pass above, which is why the board admits its own noise rather than smoothing it.

Dealers passing

will not buy

These are pieces desks do not want to sit on: hard to move, so they will not take them in. A hot model that just trades rich is not a pass.

  • Daytona

    s put the sky-dweller in an oyster flex strap but we don't need a rose gold two-tone daytona people won't buy that i just don't get it i thi

    Watch Eric · clip
  • Sea-Dweller

    ike, "People, it's a Deepsea. Right now, I feel like those watches are feeling very big. People are not buying them." But anyways, um hit th

    Watch Eric · clip

Beyond Rolex

The rest of the room

The book has their numbers. This is the sentence each number came out of: one real line per house, with the desk that said it and the clip it is in.

Audemars Piguet

Audemars Piguet

296 quotes · 6 desks · most named: Royal Oak

ut he's got a a gold royal oak already. Let me make sure you guys pack package it up perfectly. This is watch only, guys. Comps are going to be in the upwards of $35,000 range. The condition…”

$35,000GuideThe Watch Hangoutclip
Open the Audemars Piguet tape

Omega

Omega

228 quotes · 5 desks · most named: Speedmaster

you go ahead and get a speedmaster which is something that pretty much everybody wants to get nowadays those are getting a little bit too expensive and can probably run you in the 5k range a…”

$5,000GuideWatch Ericclip
Open the Omega tape

Patek Philippe

Patek Philippe

182 quotes · 5 desks · most named: Nautilus

nes that are really taking the dips in my opinion were the super bubble watches like some of those Nautiluses that were way up there, you know, Patek Philippe Nautiluses that were $180,000 b…”

$180,000GuideWatch Ericclip
Open the Patek Philippe tape

Cartier

Cartier

101 quotes · 4 desks · most named: Tank

wear, easy to understand, and not dependent on one short-lived trend. With retail models starting around 3,750 and secondary market examples spanning from 2,800 all the way up to $5,000 limi…”

$5,000RetailBob's Watchesclip
Open the Cartier tape

Tudor

Tudor

59 quotes · 4 desks · most named: Black Bay

t's a 37. Black Bay 54. MT85 with a$50 super chat. Thank you, MT85. Appreciate it. A great show. Don't scream like Goldberg, please. What if we do a low $50,400 up to Thank you, MTF……”

$50,400GuideThe Watch Hangoutclip
Open the Tudor tape

Another 2,777 spoken prices never got a house attached: the desk said a number without naming a brand the extractor recognises. They stay in the tape rather than being quietly dropped.

The storefronts on this snapshot

Public YouTube channels run by jewelry desks. Last aggregation September 1, 2026.

Unofficial research prototype. Not affiliated with Rolex SA, Omega, Patek Philippe, Audemars Piguet, Tudor, Cartier, YouTube, any dealer, or the channels named as sources. Brand marks and product photos appear for identification only. Not an offer to buy or sell watches. Extraction is noisy on purpose: this is dealer speech, not a catalog. The dollars are real quotes from public video, last pulled on the date shown above.

House photographs and brand marks come from Wikimedia Commons and are used for identification only. Rolex cut-outs are mirrored from public dealer listings. The Pepsi (126710BLRO) is a catalog photograph of the steel Jubilee reference; Sprite, Root Beer and Coke bezels are still recoloured from a Batman reference photo. Speedmaster Professional — Torsten Bolten, public domain; Nautilus 5711 — Patek Philippe SA, CC BY-SA 4.0; Royal Oak Offshore Diver — Clyde94, CC BY-SA 4.0; Black Bay 58 — EMore98, CC BY-SA 4.0; Santos-Dumont — EMore98, CC BY-SA 4.0. CC BY-SA 4.0.